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Wednesday, March 11, 2015

Questions.

Hi readers
A great deal of questions so rather than responding by email, thought it would be better to post for all to see.
1. You stated previously that China will be the catalyst for a disaster, China just lowered growth is this the start?

Glad you remembered, yes China didn't have a problem signing it's free trade agreement because it knows that slowing growth domestically will cut imports while opening the door for exports.
Countries need to focus on there strengths and stick to them.
Under 8% growth spells trouble for Australia, that is not rocket science as Australia has put all its eggs in one basket.

2. When are you going to be updating daily.

I've just obtained my license again to recommended, while I don't intend to I can update on more futures markets.

3. How strong do you see the US$ getting, as want to plan holiday.

I do see the dollar get far more stronger, 105-110 is next stop..US DOLLAR INDEX.
If your American enjoy it's your time for the next 2 years.

4. How low does the A$ go.

We have seen over the last couple of weeks that no longer do interest rates work.
So cutting rates is only excellerating the move down.
It's my personal opinion that the 60-63 level should hold.

5. How long is this cat and dog game will continue in the market?

I think it's smart for you not to become sucked into becoming a Y gen punter in the Stockmarket, as has been the case in Europe and the U.S.
People with no idea have had to put there life saving into the Stockmarket hope to obtain a comfortable return.
Stockmarket over the next 18 months is a gamblers paradise.
Opportunities will come where good companies will be very cheap then that would be the time to buy and forget about them and enjoy the recovery.
But that's not now!

6. I know your a bear on gold but for how long?

Gold in my view is a waste of money, you don't buy things with gold coins.
So gold is just to preserve wealth, not to grow wealth unless your a trader.
Right now gold is expensive, sure if gold was trading around $300-400 that would be cheap to buy and hold but at these current levels it's not worth it.
It's the same with oil, silver or even copper, it's a supply and demand issue.
In a slowdown prices come down.
Yes interests always will talk up the price and the need to buy now as prices will increase.
But the truth:: we can do without and wait until price comes to our level.
Same can't be said for grains or soft where people have to eat and weather controls prices.

Tuesday, March 10, 2015

As stated previously

Hi readers
As you have witnessed over the last couple of trading sessions what goes up will come down.
The levels previously stated the (23/12) levels over those points markets are a sell under those are a potential buy.
Astrology has a nice way of seeing thing in the future I guess.
So let's look at what's going on!
Gold is slowly sliding but as long as the European issue lingers it might hold above $1000.
Oil is just holding up with the covering of shorts , but that's about to seriously subside, so new round is on the way and starting from $50 I guess .
The US$ well that's king as we had recommended years ago.
To the Australian readers the A$ is just holding on by the skin of its teeth.
With the cut in interest rates and no response from the economy Australia could be heading into serious deflation like Europe.
Government needs to be very careful on policy now.

In stocks we have seen a run on all tech companies whether they make money or not.
To be honest had me sweating it out a little.
NFLX ran to $480 and now back to $435
TWTR ran to $50 and now at $47
FB to $80 and back to $77
So it's really had a hyper run without substance the market, so let's see how the market reality hits a little to the hype.
I wonder what will happen if the lending rates increase a little.