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Thursday, October 6, 2016

Farm Pride...

Hi readers
Looking at FRM stock it's come back some what.
Question is why?
Well let's look at what's taken place over the last 12 months of the stock and the company.
1. The astrology hasn't changed so no need to worry on that front.
2. When we look at the business yes it's growing but at what rate.
3. Spring season is coming and I'm sure price pressure will squeeze margins somewhat but for how long as Xmas is just around the corner.
4. The management and board have had a free run with the top 20 shareholders farmers.
Farmers totally understand the industry and how it operates.
There are only 4 farmers left in the top 20 shareholders and now the board can no longer continue in the manner they have previously.
5. The chairman departed which is wonderful as I didn't think highly of him.
6. Farms from time to time will have set back, like infections to the birds or drop in production from aggressive climate changes. We need to understand that we are talking about livestock.
I like to make the comment that an outgoing chairman who has no idea of what's going on at there farms is a good thing...
His a numbers man nothing more, same with DeLacy his a numbers man.
Over the past 6 months I've been very critical of management and the board for there lack of vision going forward.
Example : instead of sitting in the office looking at the production/sales numbers, what Bruce should be doing is a road show exposing Farm Pride to the investment community.
Expecting investment funds to just buy the stock without understanding who the people behind the company is, is extremely lazy and foolish.
I fear the lack of responsibility which management has misunderstood in running a publicly listed company isn't a good sign.
Now with private shareholders on the register, information regarding actions undertakings need to be communicated.
Keeping silent and expecting the market to see value in the company is bordering on incompetence.



Tuesday, October 4, 2016

High frequency trading

Hi readers

For those who asked for advice on the sporting events in Melbourne and Sydney, congratulations on your flutter..
As stated solar eclipses tend to give strength to certain colours.
Blue, white and red are the power colours in big events. This is only for a 6 moth period until the next  eclipse.
It's for this reason we said the bulldogs and the sharks to win, even tho they where outsiders.

This also applies to the NFL, but when the next solar eclipse kicks in these colours will change.
Teams without these colours are and will struggle.. dam it my packers will struggle.

In the market we see a number of high profile fund managers struggling to perform.
That comes as no surprise with High frequency trading.
Now with exchange not allowing certain language trading to execute you need to wonder why.
I say this because when I was in Australia I saw trades which are rigged to benefit HFT systems.
I put this simple sum to you all if in Australia institutions are 80% of the volume on the top 50 stocks how is in possible for BHP to trade 12000 trades on average a day for 7 million shares.
No institution put trades of 583 share at a time.
So those of you trading share need to take a longer view of the market instead of a daily view.
The ASX looks more liquid of a market with crap trades and makes them look more relevant than they really are while broking houses milk funds in Australia and small traders.
Funds that trade small cap stocks will perform better as they are not exposed to HFT.

On another note to you all .
Of late I've been helping out a hedge fund which got caught up on the wrong side.
Manager froze up and just watched daily his P/L go deeper into the red.
Don't think that because they are fund managers mistakes aren't made.
It's what you do after the mistakes that will define who you are and what your ability in the market.
Mistakes are always made, as long as you learn from them you'll be better for it .







October dates

Hi readers it's great to see how so many of you are now understanding how fund management works and how you can take advantage of it.
October is a very dangerous month astrologically.
Small aspects are positive while heavy longer term planet are very negative.
Please becareful as the only way I can describe what's taking place astrologically is the nails are popping out of the floorboards.
Economically the economy is very weak and you can see cracks appearing.

October dates
7th positive morning ,negative close.
10th positive
11th positive
14th negative 
15th lucky the market is closed or we could have see a 500 Dow point drop.
Full moon 16th 
17th positive
19th negative
20th negative in Nasdaq stocks
21st negative
25th negative
28th positive
30th new moon in Scorpio the recipe for trouble is complete
31st negative a little

As always please use the above as an indicator to your own work