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Tuesday, January 12, 2016

outlook

Hi readers

For those who want to know I have closed out my shorts on stocks and indexes carried from last year, yesterday.

Let's look at the year ahead, as we are going to go through a turbulent year.
2016 is going to be a very profitable year for many earth and fire signs , while air and water signs will struggle if not humble.
The key word here is humble!
The stubbornness of earth and fire signs will be there down fall if not humble.
A 9 year is very profitable with good volitility in markets. People born in odd years you will find it very easy to make decisions this year.

If you go back and read past posts you will see that the Chinese have still a long way to go before they get out of there mess there in so this will drag on this whole year.
The quicker they come to terms with letting the market go to its true value the quicker they will get over the mess there in.
Propping up the market with state funds and retail investors is borrowing time.

Oil.
Yes there is a glut of oil at the present time but not at levels the media is stating.
This is all about Saudi Arabia protecting its future and future earnings.
If oil has to drop to $15 a barrel it will as long as shale oil goes bankrupt.
This is at any cost game so don't think oil will bounce back to $50.
Talks of cuts are nothing more than media hype. Just feeding the mice what they need to hear.

Iron ore
Same scenario there is a cartel playing around with the market.
Blaming the Chinese slowdown on prices yet selling far more than the market can handle.
Little did I realise until I obtain an email from a friend who has clearly shown the forward sales of production until 2019 at a set price.
Way above the current prices, posting shelf companies as buyers at current prices and selling to contract buyers . Third party
Nothing illegal about it, it's just saves the company billions in potential tax and put the Australian government out of pocket.

No disrespect to the Australian readers but you do have state governments there who paid I believe $1.6 billion in compensation not to build a road, yet you so badly need it.
Government in Australia don't have the smartest tools in the shed so to speak.
As my American reader David said once (DUMB PEOPLE BREED MORE DUMB PEOPLE. PEOPLE WHO VOTE AND LISTEN TO DUMB PEOPLE BECOME DUMB.
That's why the gap between haves and have not is so great.

In regards to grains at the present time they are very cheap.
I'm a big fan of grains because no matter what happens people must eat.
Animals must eat, and with climate change so real supply will always be affected.
Farmers are the most smartest people around they just play dumb to get what they need.
Talk to a farmer about an issue and talk to a metro person about the same issue and you get very different answers, truly fascinating.

Not a metals fan this year again it will be a sluggish year for metals, second half will show some light but not worth investing in them.

In stocks
I found a number of real good potential companies with huge upside in them, some have moved up aggressively with news of development while others are dormant at the present time.
Until the astrology is done on them  I refuse to post out who they are.

With my own play I bought some Stock before the year was out at 1.05-1.10, but still looking to pick up more at the right price.
What tends to happens when markets get jolted around is many small and medium investors sell out of profitable stocks to buy blue chip stocks thinking they are cheap.
Only to realise the can fall just as easy as any other stock.
That's why patients will be hugely rewarded 2016


2016. Here we go

Hi readers

Happy new year to you all ..
First I want to say thank you to all of you who sent emails and XMAS wishes.
I met so many of you while in Melbourne and Sydney it was wonderful.
Never expected to met so many CEO of small and medium companies, it was wonderful to see so many diverse people taking an interest in financial astrology.

So where are we at with the market.
BHP is now trading at the $15 level as expect.
China is still trying to hold back what has to happen.
America raised rates thinking all will be ok.
Economies around the world are showing sign on contraction.
Governments around the world are looking to raise tax revenue.
Currency war is alive and ripe.

So all in all the world economy is in a dangerous period.
It's now more than ever that you will need astrological guidance to give you an idea of what's ahead.

I want to seriously stress that trading is a business.
It's not for those looking for an ego rush or an ego trip for that matter.
If not taken seriously you will loose a lot of money, and some will fall into drepression if not taken seriously.
The market will take your money and spit you out like chewing gum.
When people start out in business they do there research, learn the job and then look at getting into it.
Work hard to succeed, and yes long hours.
The result is job satisfaction that you did something and got paid for doing it .
For some unknown reason when it comes to trading people put there full trust in charting and that's it.
Then when charting goes wrong they blame charting and not themselves for failing to research.
Loosing life savings and then arguing with people around them.

I totally understand it's hard to find good peoples do ask for help.
Many stockbrokers and financial planners are and always will be failed traders.
Some will tell you while others will refuse to admit the truth.
There are tho some who are seriously good people, who can help you.
All you need to do is ASK for help.
Calling a broker and asking every morning what he thinks of the market is not asking for help.
That's called an opinion.

Note this.. your trading against 490 million account 37,000 hedgefunds, 3100 pension funds and 200 wealth funds.
Even in Australia the ass end of the world has these accounts looking at the market daily.

So please think about the above before deciding to trade.



Sunday, December 20, 2015

Last post for 2015

Hi Readers

Posting the last update for the year as its time to enjoy the profits we have made over the year.

So we got a rate rise and the market ran up.
Those of you who trade markets for a living will realise it was the ideal pump and dump play.
In the end market is right where it was before the rate move.
Best time for the rate rise was in July, now it's way too late.
People, professional money simply boost the market up to catch amature short and then dump it right back to where it started the move.
Please remember when trading your up against algorithms and computer programs which can detect weight of numbers.
That's why charts alone are a very weak tool, as these systems know and detect when buys and sells will be triggered.
Now we have computers detecting computers, it's simply get way out of hand.
Trading daily is becoming deadly for amature traders.
I've never seen a market stay up after a rate rise followed into XMAS, how could it be good for the market?
Anyway I'm holding some nice shorts in stocks, that ran up..
Yes AAPL, NFLX and BHP.
Australian market could be in for a tailspin Monday as BHP has had its assets frozen by a court in South America.
While it won't be the end of BHP, it is seriously now damaging its name.
To our Astrological stock I saw on Thursday a number of small funds and brokerage house now own the stock also.
It's easy to see as the stock is held in good hands.
Not much gets flipped .

On the political front, in America .... Trump is really stirring the pot, and now we see the establishment ganging up to push him out.
Now you can see why trump is a loose cannon.
It's disappointing that the republican party won't support there best candidate to win in Ben Carson ..
Bush and the others will loose seats not gain.
It's true the country can't afford another Bush .

In Australia the honeymoon is over for Malcom Turnbal.
His done everything the media has ask for and his the Mr fix it .
Now it's time to show his leadership.. Both he and his supporters (Bishop and Morrison) will face a very difficult period next 3 months.

I'm heading to Australia for a couple of weeks, for holiday and research.
Will be back on the 12th of Jan.
Just want to wish you all a safe and happy XMAS and a wonderful new year.

Monday, December 14, 2015

Almost every business is a cartel, people just don't know it, and pay up.

Hi readers

Many have asked questions after doing the own research on our astrological stock.
One in particular question has been raised over 38 times.
Does FRM run a somewhat cartel with other producers to fix prices?
Your answers is in the question you ask!

Anytime companies produce a product that is a form of it.
Look at petrol companies?
Right now the oil industry. OPEC
Out to bankrupt shale research and international producers in Canada and America.
Yes while many can't work it out why would you sell below cost?
 You can only corner a market once you have eliminated the threat.
Right now this is going on and will continue, with iron ore, oil, coffee, cotton and many more.
Make in an unviable business once thats happened then your able to make those losses back in a very short space of time.
In Australia now we are seeing small vegetable growers leaving the industry.
Selling up and moving on because large producers are making it an unviable business by selling cheap there produce.(24% closed up in the last quarter)
Clean out all threats to then run prices on the public.
This occurred in the US back in the 1990 and we then saw prices run up and consumers paid up.
Yes Mother Nature can dictate how much produce can be produced but farms now are so advanced that once every 4-5 years weather will affect a yield.

We hear bullshit coming out Australia that this years wheat crop on the eastern boarder will be low due to weather drought , yet I know readers ( farmers)who have clearly said to me they will have record crops, yet will release only 30% of it .
That's call smart thinking farmers who have learnt the hard way about controlling prices.
That's why wheat is still holding good prices while soybeans have dropped in price with South American producers selling into the market at any price.

Same is happening with iron ore, that's why BHP will continue its fall, coffee with Vietnam selling at any price, and the Chinese with cotton.

Hope this Answers your questions.

To all farmers producers, mining firms, CEO's and traders who understands smart economics!
Supply demand is the name if the game, and will continue to be.
You always sell when everyone is buying and always buy when everyone is selling.
Contrarian may be but you will always make money doing it.
Timing is everything that's why you need a good astrologer to help you with timing.
That was my biggest lesson I learnt from a Japanese trader in 1991.






Wednesday, December 9, 2015

what is a fair price for BHP

Hi readers

A number of questions and so many concerns...
Welcome to a Scorpio moon..

Regarding BHP, is it time to buy yet ?
That is a question for you to answer on your own.
Reason I say that is time frame, and patience.
How long do you want to hold it and what are your expectations.
At the present time it looks to as tho there is a serious carry trade/hedge playing out in the market regardless of price.
Selling the miners, buying the banks.
Yes overseas has finally caught on that the Australian public are slaves to the banks now.
I say that because the attitude is let's live the life in style and showboat while only pay the interest on loans. The piper isn't getting his money back, which is a massive danger.
Now we hear that the government want to change bankruptcy and insolvency legislation, to make it easier to try again.
While that is a good thing it's a double edged knife also.
Those old enough to remember this is 1990-1993 all over again.
Banks will be left holding the debt, in return shareholders will wear it .

My astrology is say around March we should get a better idea of what is a good price or BHP.
We there that is $15, $12 or even $8.80 I don't know.
Market is now just starting to understand the mine damage done, so 40 billion is 12-15 I think.
If 80 billion then $8.50 very strong possibility ... But until we see a cost of damage claim we really can't put a proper price.
So is BHP cheap at the moment? No.

Another full of crap stock is Macquarie bank, will never understand why they call themselves a bank, except for government protection.
Any private trader who trades seriously can't stand 2 companies in the world as they are what we call the blood suckers of the world...
Goldman Sachs , and in Asia Macquarie.
Flip traders like toys if they loose money which I guess is business, but it's the way it's done.
So every time they get caught out in trades by market volitility, I with my friends and HSBC enjoy drinking on there graves.
These firms have the most advanced algorithm software which is years ahead of the regulators.
Able to manipulate market to suite there traders.
In particular small cap stocks.
Regardless of what the SEC or the ASX make out in the public arena these companies basically have there own rule which isn't right.
Yes I did recieve an email weeks ago about pushing FRM down to 20 cents from 60. When we emailed out.
While there code was showing up as a seller at the start,whether that was for clients or not I do not know.
But then when the stock close at 84cents the first time word went around for 300k.
While I wanted to post it I wasn't able to for insider trading rules.
Unfortunately they managed to close shorts by covering.
Waiting for another assault for which this time I am able to act and will .
Yes I'm sure the emails will come from my so called friends so let's see how good they really are.
By the way just so you all know the company has NO intentions to sell shares over the next 2 years to raise capital...

Use caution in your trading for the rest of the month..
I'll post more information on FRM later.


Tuesday, December 8, 2015

Financial astrology

Hi readers

When I look at stock to invest in not trade I look at 3 things which are pivotal
First... is the astrology, where is the stock at and where it's heading.
Second ...I look at what its product or service to use.
Third...what the financials of the business and how can or will it improve.

The stock in which we have powerful positive astrology is Farm Pride Foods.
First the financial astrology.
For the amature astrologers
From May 2013-May 2015 it when through its Saturn station.( it's restructure so to speak)
As of July 13th 2015 -Sep 23rd it pushed through a Venus trine Pluto at 11 degrees.
This is seeds of the restructure starting to pop up.
As of 9th Dec2015-9th Dec 2017 the company will have jupiter trine Venus in the 2nd house.
This is the most powerful of astrological aspects you can get which affects companies going forward.
Many amature astrologers will question this but when we also put the 6 degrees of the affect is hard to dispute if you know financial astrology.

So what does the company do?

There in the eggs business.
Yep eggs, everyone eats eggs.
They are the largest egg producers on the eastern board of Australia.
They supply eggs to the large chain stores that being (Coles and Safeway).
While there a number of small and medium producers as competitors, to supply the major chains they have that business covered.
The food service industry is growing also and with health regulations around the country forcing many small producers to modernise Farm Pride is sitting in the box seat to pick up future market share.
The health crap which we all got told about eggs increases cholesterol was the biggest fraud in food.
More people are eating eggs and are healthy for it as its proven in the July MD health magazine.

It's competitors being Pace farms and Meggles are very unreliable in the supply for product to the chain stores on the eastern boarder.
So the chain store have no choice but to deal with Farm Pride and accept any pricing structure.
If they had to deal with small producers with the central invoicing systems they have it would be a nightmare.
Sure Farm Pride wouldn't have the quality as some smaller producers but there the only ones with the volume, which leaves the chain stores paralysed.
Bottom line without Farm Pride Australia doesn't eat eggs and that's why in the event of any issues the government will support.

We then look at the value added products that being eggs pulp, scrabbled egg mix, and the aggressively growing market of egg whites to the weight loss and body building industry.
The equipment to make these product,FRM has he capacity to supply, and have the quality to keep growing there market.

Financials
It's looks as tho the company went into building new farms and hiring farms to secure its supply.
Obviously when this occurred it's looks as tho the GFC hit and they couldn't sell stock to raise money.
So it looks as they the company when into serious debt to secure its supply.
As those farms are now coming online Farm Pride has halved it's debt and is making a healthy profit.
I like the fact there is a tight management structure, as I don't see why you need fat cats being paid at the top.
they have been exporting products overseas and I see this continuing in the future with Australia's clean green promotion.

Who are the stake holders in the company?

It appears that the WA co, ( Westcoast eggs)have a massive invested interest in Farm Pride.
Why is that ?
To secure supply to Farm Pride.
As Farm Pride become more self sufficent supply of product will decrease.
It's my understanding reading from the Australian Egg Councils paperwork that WA producers over supply the state by 15%.
Simply there a lot bigger farms with the security of 3 day truck drive which protects them from competition from other producers around the country.

So let's look at valuation
The company has 55 million share.
At $1.80-$2 the company is worth $100 million
If it continue as is without growth and erases it's debt and culls the supply from WA company will earn $19million
If the growth continues and I can see why it won't with the increasing population in Australia, at current levels which we have been told will, in a statement to the market.
Company value then pushes to the $175-200 million.

Now this is the curve ball.
WA own 49% of the company.
WA needs Farm Pride more than the latter.
They even have to members on the board overseeing.
In the event that the culls begins, and Farm Pride no longer need WA.
What do they do?
There not selling out that's for sure , there takeover bid is in play.
For which then what is a reasonable prices knowing that WA need Farm Pride.
It's my view that $7.40 a share is a fair price.
That's equates to around $400 million.





Monday, December 7, 2015

might be time to examine yourself.

Hi readers

If you ever want to see how the establishment screws up traders Friday's action was the perfect example of it.
Burning all traders by pushing the market after news only to drop it back the next day.
Rates going up isn't good for discretionary spending.
Similar situation you have with the A$, everyone knows that it's going down yet it's still trading higher squeezing out short.
This is what the industry calls the establishments control.
Yet when it goes against them they run to the government for support and help.
Whether it's JPM or Maquarie they are all the same.
Investment banks can't make money in an open market as they portray.
Information is key and that's why small traders are always in debt.
It's also small funds who they support also and then call,up IOUs...
Yes regulators know it goes on yet turn a blind eye to it.
Perfect example I got told of a play on a stock in Australia regarding capping compensation claim in the UK.
This at the time was trading around the $3.10-3.20 area.
Word got out and some took the play yet after the announcement the amount of selling which hit the stock was incredible, open shorts, yet under rules these plays aren't allowed to occur.
No I didn't take the trade as I don't trade that way.
The SEC or any other policing agency has no chance of ever catching this type of trading as computer algorithms are that advanced that the authorities surveillance  is some 6 years behind.
That's why no one can or will be caught.

Example... Is it possible for a computer programmer on $120k be smarter than a programmer on $2 million.
That's what the game is and that's why this will never stop.
That's the truth regardless of what you think or believe.
That's why at times you will have a parcel of shares on the bid, yet when you try to sell into them they immediately disappear with a small amount only executed.
What's the excuse from the authorities, the order on the bid was revised.
Yet on the screen it's was clearly showing the bid size.

This is the main reason buy beware on spec stocks.
When rates move and money becomes tight, small spec stocks will sell there own shares to raise capital.... SUPPLY DEMAND  people.

Another great play is when sellers want to liquidate a stock they hold.
Calls are made around to limit the selling so the stock can be cooked up.
It's run to a certain point and then the word goes out to sell it.
Once again leaving the small traders holding the bottle,after the smart money has got drunk on there success.

While many of you are Technical traders and I do respect that you need to know what your investing in.
Have rules to only trade a certain amount of shares in it so you can liquidate at will without getting stuck in a stock because of its potential.
CHANCE COMES TO THE PREPARED MIND.
Without money you have to chance of playing so be smart with it.