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Tuesday, February 16, 2016

Circus is in town

Hi readers

Well the circus is in town..
Yes I'm talking about the political scene.
The republicans are calling each other lairs while Hilary is making fun of them calling for a dog to work them out...
I'm so glad Ben Carson hasn't gotten into this crap.
Trump can be excused for not knowing how the system works but the others pathetic.
People are supposed to vote for these guys!!!!!

In Australia you have an independent report say the east west link is needed for  Victoria's  infustructure moving forward.
Government just paid 1.2 billion Australian dollars not to build it....LOL
Now it's needed but the government won't build it ....
It's my experience that labor governments are not forward thinkers.
That's why Australia is so backward thinking,( governments)..
People are smart, stupid governments.
I'm also glad to see the federal government not raising the GST.
But I do believe that the negative gearing tax can be scraped all together.
It's bullshit always has been.
Yes I too have taken great advantage of it and why not..
If the government wants to give me a hand out why not.

In the markets

Markets act very choppy which is great..
Good for day traders bad for investors.
Oil market is trying to get traction for higher prices
While gold looks like it's the perfect short.
Not say to short it I don't trade it but will look at it.
I love grains at the present time even tho there doing nothing at the moment, there the one commodity that can seriously explode overnight.
If I was a farmer I'd store it year over year.
As the Australian farmers do and release it slowly..

LOL ... Why isn't that a cartel ....dumb asses ACCC.

Anyway I'm wrapped that so many of you are watching the Twitter posts ..
Yes most are watching through the web pages rather than becoming a follower which is fine.
I try to be informative when I'm on it.
I'll try and answer all the email as quick as possible also..
But please note this there are no dumb questions..

Many of you are making the most silly mistakes and I totally understand where your coming from.
Forget looking at the market and trading.
YOU MUST LEARN MONEY MANAGEMENT..
Read up on it on the net,no  need to do bullshit courses which are crap..
Read up and understand it, if you don't understand it read it again until it sinks in.

Trading is like making a cake..

You have to know what your doing first up. Money management.
Ingredients .... What to trade and how to trade.
Baking .... What to look for and for how long to trade.
Special ingredient ... You little edge over everyone else.

Again readers trading is a business don't ever forget that.
There is no could of would of here..
You mess up it cost you money, not to mention the emotional stress which has no price.
Wall Street is full of trader graves...
People loosing everything and then taking the own lives because they can't face up to there mistakes.
This is not a game .... REMEMBER THAT.

Wednesday, February 10, 2016

Need to know who the sucker is in the room when you walk in .

http://www.weeklytimesnow.com.au/agribusiness/federal-court-finds-egg-producers-did-not-attempt-to-create-cartel/news-story/7527a0033651363e57d1cb09e21a0726

Hi readers.

So the ACCC loose there case against Farm Pride... Not surprised by that .
As I said previously there Jupiter is so strong for another 22 months anything that is throw at them will fail.
The truth is your dam right it's a cartel and a good one too..
Problem is you have to prove it.
Exactly the same as the broking houses with there insider trading.
They know it goes on but the regulators have to prove it..

Stupid regulators easy to hide insider trading.
Dumb regulators easy to hide cartel evidence.

The oil companies do it too, but in this case it's on a small scale and the ACCC  was under the impression that FARM PRIDE would roll over..
IF YOU DONT KNOW WHO THE SUCKER IS IN 3 SECONDS FLAT , YOU ARE THE SUCKER!!!!!!!!
So where does the stock go from here?
I still believe it's proper value is between the $1.80-$2 area.

In the markets yesterday we saw a large elephant margin called and as a result the ASX took a beating.
Only to bounce solidly back after the selling was completed...
That's what happens when your big, everyone can hear an elephant walking .
Bigger isn't always better.
When your trading small market you need to be a tiger, where nobody can hear you coming or going.
It's amazing how the banks in Australia have the population as slaves.
I say this because the CBA reports a 4.6 billion first half profit.
That's so ridiculous I can't even digest it.
That should hold well for a positive day on the ASX but don't expect it to carry on throughout the day.

In the U.S. we are getting to the point where we need to see if the fed has balls.
Investment banks are prepared to take on the fed at its word which means it's time for action.
Banks through there investment arms will continue to push the market down to keep the fed at bay.
Fed needs to keep raising rates to at least 2% .
Needs to reload there guns and need to get of this QE addiction the market has.
If Bullard was the chairman rates would already be 3% now ..


Tuesday, February 9, 2016

Use the ASX as an economic barometer.

Hi readers 

Has the links to the chain started to crack or is it just a pause.
Corporate earning isn't meeting expectation, so is it a case of expectations too high or is it companies not performing on all cyclinders.
There could be a case for both but this attempt to try and handcuff the fed is very dangerous.
In the event of a collapse the fed has all but 2 bullets to fire and to be honest there not really capable of serious penetration.
So it's my view that the Fed needs to keep raising rates regardless of the stock market, as the domestic US economy is proving to be resilient.
Europe has negative rates, Japan also has negative rates.
In the event that the U.S. goes negative then global recession for a decade will follow.
I say this because I have been doing the astrology for the U.S. economy for the next 2 years over the last week and there are road we seriously don't want to get on.
It's true as the Fed explands it's money supply the Stockmarket moves higher, but right we need to see some sort of justifications for the price level the Stockmarket is at .
 
Here is an interesting  fact. 
Before the Global meltdown all markets around the world kept peaking up making new highs.
Since then most markets have gone back up there and have made higher highs. Except Australia.
Australia still has seen the 6700 level now almost 5 years.
I say this not to pick on Australia.
I say it because Australia doesn't have reserve bank intervention in the Stockmarket.
It's not permitted in there charter of economic policy.
The ASX is used by many large hedgefunds as a barometer of the world economy.
Right now it's seriously doesn't look good, and while governments around the world are looking to make cuts to services and raise taxes, that's not how you promote growth to get out of the mess they have created.
It's my believe that until governments around the western world drop this west minister system and move into an Asian system there will be no serious growth.

In markets
For the month of February for those who are asking for my results..
ES -17 on closed position..

I do have open positions in both the SPI and ES..

We saw some margin selling yesterday in markets so it will be interesting to see how hard it bounces back...

For Ash and Christian in Austria if the ES closes under 1734 then you will see some huge fund liquidation,but until then I don't see this happening, until maybe April tax selling , but till then very early .

Sunday, February 7, 2016

General view

Hi readers

I honestly thought that a 4.9% employment rate would have really pushed the market higher aggressively, yet it went the other way.
With the potential talk of another rate rise..
Technology sector is continuing to fall nice and easy, with the lack of serious innovation.
Until we see that this sector will keep sliding.
Sure the chips will move around from one stock to the other but as a sector money will keep coming leaving looking for other sectors.

On Monday we have a new moon!
Stock which fall into it tend to make a reversal and start trading higher some time.
NFLX has a opportunity to turn around and trade higher if the smart ass Reed can allow his pride to be damaged.
I suspect not but you never know.
Anyway for those carrying the astrological trade with us , look to cover all shorts, put options and CFDs on the stock in the morning once the stock trades under $80.
We can get back in on the short side in April/ May at 100+ again or when it comes.
As for Apple stock is just buying time at the present time.
It's suppliers continue to let out the sluggish orders from Apple and Tim if being force to use the treasure chest to buy stock slowly...
I believe they call it orderly fashion..
 Nth Korea tested a missile this morning and all of a sudden everyone is freaking out.
No one seems to get it that this muppet enjoys stirring up his asian neighbours.
The UN or the security council has become an irrelevant organisation, so that why he can do what he does.
I'm intrigued tho, every time he does let a missile of is someone stacking shorts only to cover them once he lets one go .

There was a lot of Neptune/ Pluto quin, this time around which is indicating, financial gain by deception.... Interesting

With the new moon look for a low 24 hours either side but I suspect we should see it Monday.


Thursday, February 4, 2016

is the U.S. economy seriously slowing down

Hi readers

While oil continues to fall in price you have to start to sit back and really see what's going on..
Sure shale oil is starting to cut into the Arab profits and market share but so did ethanol to a point before that died down due to grains become very expensive.
If there is more people on earth and car sales are running hot shouldn't we be using more oil?
Or is it a case as I said previously, the lower oil prices is holding the world economy from collapse.
To put it simply if oil was to get back above $40 or even $50 we would see a recession in my view.
Yes we are in an election year in the US and oil is always down.
But I put this to you all is the biggest economy in the world slowing down to almost stalling.
The Stockmarket is an illusion of the real economy.
It's doesn't give a true reflexion of how the economy is going.
If you look at money supply by central banks and Stockmarket performance you'll see they walk hand in hand.
With out money supply from the central banks, stock markets can't sustain these high prices.

We see in Japan that you now have negative rates..
I spoke to a friend yesterday and got told that as of the 1st of March he will be charged to keep money in the bank.
Central banks have lost the plot in regards to monetary policy.
It's ok to have negative growth and even a recession as long as you allow it to play out properly.
Not try to manage it.
Excess gets cleaned out properly allowing for proper growth to occur.
Throwing money upon money to issue won't solve a thing if anything it will only inflate the problem.
Households budget and get by to afford what's required.
So why do governments just print more money to afford what's required.
The monetary system is in some very serious trouble in the future if this the of practice doesn't stop.
Does that mean buy gold ........ NO
Buy land is the best investment.. Not apartments or houses but rural land.

Wednesday, February 3, 2016

Finally got on Twitter

Hi readers ...
Just letting you all know that I have logged onto Twitter.
As some of get frustrated by the time I email you back with response hopefully will be able to do so quicker with the Twitter engine.
Those of you who want to ask questions privately, once again the email is always open.

So I believe the Twitter handle is John@J4472

Anyway question you wish to ask feel free to do so.
I will try to make it informative in the way I use planetary movement, so hopefully many amatures astrologers can learn and apply it to there trading style.
Whatever markets I'm trading I'll post out or I should say tweet ....LOL

To my friends in the US and Europe you guys might get the raw end as I will be trading Asian time.
Unless markets are hot.


Tuesday, February 2, 2016

Feb dates

Hi readers Feb astrological dates

4th negative
8th positive  new moon bottom should occur
10th positive
15th positive
16th choppy
17th positive
19th positive
22nd full moon top should occur
23rd negative
24th positive
26th choppy negative technology
29th negative

Above are the astrological dates for movements which will enhance the above dates.
Use them as an emotional component in your trading strategy only.