Hi Readers
The RBA came out with there inflation projections moving forward and within a month they have increased because of last quarters numbers.
What does that say about there projections? Exactly unreliable and wrong.
With the FED moving again .75% why would you even consider buying Australian bonds or the Currency when you can buy the reserve currency and bonds and get a better rate.
So lets cut the crap and really understand why the RBA is holding back on wanting to kill demand with interest rates. Its called Debt. Home loan debt, Personal debt, Credit card debt.
Australia is far worse that the US by a multiple of 3.2, so yes while the media is focused of the US the Australian Economy is doomed for a deep recession regardless of what anyone says.
While the RBA is holding back because of the state of the property debt, if they don't move more aggressively soon the Australian dollar will come under pressure and the bond market will force the RBA's hand. As was the case early in the year, after the RBA said they won't move on rates until 2024.
Take note readers All central banks around the world have a very clear idea of what people have in there bank accounts what they debt capacity is to service debt and there threshold.
This information has to be given to the central banks by the commercial banks.
So they are fully aware of what is going on and what they are doing moving forward.
Please don't be fooled by whats the media or commentators say all central banks are fully aware and planning whats going on, governments are just puppets.