Deflation evidence is showing up

 Hi readers 

We are seeing move evidence of deflation and while the US media keeps pumping the idea that the FED will cut rate this is all an illusion and I'll tell you why.

With the Fed there only active on the short end of the market the long end of the bond market is demand driven. Right now know one wants to purchase US debt as its starting to become toxic. 

We are also starting to see all the easy money which was handed out to corporations to keep them afloat and buy the crap stock back are all struggling to raise money. Yes even Nivdia which issued billion in bonds to buy there own stock back in 2021 mature in December. They have offered bonds to the market at 5.25% with no interest being shown.

What's this is demonstrating is that the FED has no choice but to keep rates where they are or even raise them. as cutting them will only ignite inflation.

Money is going to cost while assets will depreciate. How is this going to take place you might ask, very simple Employment. Your job you have right now is your only security, you either making your repayments or you putting food on the table. We are just seeing small uptick in the jobless claims in the US and the market and media believe the FED will cut rates. The FED is officially paralyzed by the bond market, they no longer have the ability to sway long term rates with comments or talk.

In Australia we are still a good 9 months behind the FED and need to raise rates further as if it wasn't for China buy Australian resources Australia would be an Argentina Economy. Rates in Australia need to be above the US just to become attractive to international investors. Its why you are see the government slowly cut project funding to states and there is more coming. The fact that the government runs to China to make sure China allows students and wealthy people come to migrate in Australia is embarrassing to say the least. Reason they doing that is to salvage the property industry/market. If it wasn't for the affluent Chinese coming to buy property in Australia, property would already be down by 35%. The fact are the Chinese knows exactly where Australia stands should push come to shovel so China is and they should look after there own interests.

To the American readers Australia has been doing what your Gavin Newsome is doing. Because the Chinese President is coming to town San Francisco is being cleaned up of all the rubbish and shit on the streets, and yes his admitted it when asked by the media.

The world is being lead by fools at the present time regardless where you are from there all talking the same stupid language, sacrifice your own people to protect the few, and the media will sell it.

What shits me is why is it ok for foreigners to own your countries land but you can't own there's?

The banking sector is fully reliant on Chinese migration to keep there profitability going. 

Australian banks are the most profitable banks in the world readers and that's only because its a cartel. They all meet up and inform one another of there intentions, take it in turns who has rates lower than the other 3 and move money amongst themselves. Government is told what they are allowed to say or do with them and that's it. Any politician who even thinks about policing the banks will face a full blown recession the like the world hasn't seen. Banks simply stop lending for a month and everything in this little country called Australia goes to shit. So who runs the country readers, that's right banks do and we allowed them too because we are all greedy.

The CPI is Officially the Consumer Price LIE

 Hi readers 

So we see the CPI that just came out of the US and what do we see yep it dropped but how when the cost of living is increasing.

I haven't seen private health insurance ever drop 34%, when we saw a month ago firms released public statements that they where going to raise health insurance by 5-7%.

So yes American economics at its best. 

So lets really understand what's going on now as we got ahead of the market and while the FED and other Bureau of Bull shit Statistics tried to hide.

The US is going into a Deflationary environment. the cost of money is expensive and the cost of assets becomes stagnant. This is something which Japan is still in yet refuse to acknowledge.

You have to understand is that the majority of financial transactions have occurred with fake wealth, (I'll explain}

Regardless of what you believe and I'm not out to convince you either. Over the last 2 Decades Money has been pumped into every market, Crypto, Property, Stock Market and Metal Markets. Who has been the real beneficiaries of this governments and banks. The losers of this and the one which will feel the heaviest burden of this action will be people. 

Yes we have been like a drug addict, and now we are supposed to go cold turkey and move on. Well no you not meant to go cold turkey because your an addict, so you need to keep increasing your debt burden, and in turn give back your last 20 years of wealth.

We have bought and sold assets for the last 20 years at higher levels all the time and never worry the bank will keep giving you money, until now .

The reason banks aren't now as willing to give money is because they know that the music has stopped. Don't believe the numbers you are given for defaults or bankruptcies it is far worse that what is being reported. 

Your probably saying that I'm always negative? Well his the proof  wages over the last 20 years have gone up 1.3% yearly average in Australia and 1.51% in the USA. 

Yet inflation has been double that and right now the reason people are really feeling lost and unable to even put heating on to save money is because the inflation is far greater than what is being reported. Yet its as if some his watching above and just tightening the screws on us, regardless of where you live, we are all in the same boat. People are starting to have suicide that's regarding loosing everything they have worked for. To commit suicide for crap like money is just stupid. Live is the most valuable thing on earth. Money or assets are not worth your life, Anyone going through these issues PLEASE seek help.

All the gains people made in the 80's and 90's in obtain wage rises have gone to waste. This is why this we are moving into a decade of deflation. Which is the biggest fear any central banker has as they can still see where Japan is at. Next we will see governments of the western world struggle to balance budgets, as a results will increase taxes on it society and the social unrest will then commence. What we have seen in the US with the Defund movement is nothing to what could occur but until then there is a lot more to play out.

I've been a little lazy in not put up any astrology up lately as I have built it into a AI program which I now use for trading. For those who used Chat GPT before Microsoft bought it and dumbed it down, you'll have the language to write a program up. 

As always be careful out there in the financial markets, we are going up on hope and stupidity and computer Algorithms not fundamental's. 

Yields are starting to look attractive

 Hi Readers

Markets seem to be trading all over the place at the moment. We are seeing bond yields increasing higher yet the Fed hasn't moved on rates yet. There is an old saying that the bond market is always right not the stock market. The bond market is like a cargo ship once it starts moving and the stockmarket is like a speed boat can move very quickly. 

For some of you who are retired a 5% yield for the next 10 years is a very attractive proposal. I'm not saying it can't go higher but you need to weight it up to your own circumstances. talk to your financial planners about locking up some money into fixed income and that's a comfortable retirement. but only if its something that interest you. I think we can go a little higher first around the 5.50-6%. I think that if we go higher than that then all hell will take place.

Just a note which is an illusion many believe will take place. Company buybacks will recommence next month and into December and many believe that stocks will have there Santa Clause rally. Previous years money was cheap and what companies did is loan money or issue bonds and then go into the market and buy their shares up. With government bonds at current levels companies need to pay a premium to obtain funds. While many have been beating the media drum about record buybacks lets see if they can obtain money first and at what rate. Some of the venture capital firms can't get money under 10% so there is no way companies I don't care who will be able to pay up and then buy there stock up.

To the Australian investors small cap stock who don't have there funding in order will struggle to find money moving forward. They will have to pay premium rate for money.

So before you look at investing in companies make sure you look at the financials and see if the company is financially sound. If not just wait for these companies to cap raise and then look into them.

5.4% inflation, its still brewing in Australia

 Hi Readers

So the inflation number just came out in Australia and what do you know inflation was higher than expected. So why now all of a sudden that we need to move on rates when inflation was anticipated at 5.3% and it came in at 5.4% in Australia this is. For .1% higher who cares, what's the big deal.

Its what your not being told is the big deal ! and that is that unlike in the US where there is strikes everywhere for more money by employee's, companies in Australia have absorbed the costs believing that inflation was going to come down, if we see another number of higher inflation companies won't hesitate to increase costs heading into Xmas.

The bean counters will be crushing numbers to see where the companies profitability is at as of tomorrow and into next week. The US is in a similar position just more into the process than what Australia is. 

Now lets look at why has happened since rates have moved up.

Governments around the world know full well the implications of what higher rates will do to the property market so, they too the approach of letting anyone into there country regardless of what they do or what they earn, I say that because I know people who have come from Burma to Australia and the guy is a diesel mechanic. The Australian government has been advertising it overseas that anyone can come with a trade or laborer. Now these people need somewhere to stay and they are coming for a better life to Australia so the government knows they can't buy homes but can rent. What do we currently have around the western world shortage of ? property rentals.

Doesn't matter where you look, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, UK, US or Europe its all the same. So we have this going on to protect banks from defaults while house prices are coming off but not as quickly as many have anticipated with property investors being drained of there wealth. IF your paying 6 or 7% mortgage rates and returning 1-2% your 5% in a arrears. So its going t take time for this to play out and here is the other scenario lets assume that inflation does fall away and the economies around the world turn to shit, what is the only thing the central banks do. Yes cut rates and if this does happen before we get a clean out of debt asset prices on property, shares or vehicles will explode making everyone poorer for it.  

Why do I say this well if your not able to afford a $1.5 million home now in Australia what makes you think you can a 2.5 million home if the central banks cut rates. its my belief the BIS want to bankrupt the world. Every government is a slave to the BIS, they do as they are told.

So you don't want rates to go down at all if anything you want them to stay where they are or go higher. We need to clean out the excess debt out of the system before rates come down or there will be no real growth

General view

 Hi readers 

Its amazing how media has the ability in all facets to control what you read/opinions, last post got deleted as I was told it was inciting racial division. What happened to free speech.

I only stated my opinion on the referendum that took place here in Australia and thank god the public isn't all stupid and voted No. The vote had nothing to do with first people/aboriginals and acceptance. It all had to do with sovereignty of the land. Giving it to the government meant you can never own it as the government would have the sovereignty on it and could do what it like over it, yes even booting you off it. Government was going to use that as collateral to its debt with the BIS. There the facts whether you like them or not. Australians shouldn't be paying any tax with the amount of resources we have under and over the ground. Yet we pay so much that its never enough.

Yes I have a massive tax bill and I'm ranting about it.

I deliberately haven't post so the market can catch up to what's playing out.

Inflation hasn't fallen at all in fact its increased. Yet we hear the bull shit media come out with numbers that will just comfort peoples anxiety.

Here in Australia property investors are basically all screwed regardless of when they bought the properties, to be earning a 2-3% on your property yet deposit rates are sitting at 4% says it all.

Then you put in the cost of rates and insurance and that 2-3% become 1-2%. Oh yes you own the property and its capital gaining, really !!In Victoria the communist states thats all about to change with new money grabbing taxes taking affect. I don't know how or who is going to police them but hey what do you expect, everything works well in theory, but practice is another thing. 

Good luck trying to get overseas investors who own property paying 1% of the value of the house for no one living in it. Body corporates and banks are trying to find the investors to pay 3 years arrears..LOL

If readers inflation has fallen then why not lower interest rates as they have done there job?

Inflation readers in brewing and its at the tipping point of stagflation and deflation.

The debt which has been written up in unsustainable, we simply don't have the capacity to service it yet people and governments are continuing to borrow more and more.  At the BIS meeting last week while everything else was happening the reality dawned on the financial sector. 45% of the large banks are insolvent. Regardless of whether you have money in the bank or not if a bank is operating insolvent then the deposits are its collateral. just be aware of it moving forward.

In the stock markets we see stock slowly deflating yet those who have lied about there earning will be exposed with the lunar/solar Eclipses which have/will take place.

As always the above is based on astrological aspects

Ask your financial advisor on more on the above

The NVidia lie

 Hi Reader

Let me show you how wonderful and how stupid investors are/can be.

So last month we saw NVidia come out with wonderful quarterly results and we got these awesome forecasts moving forward for the following quarter.

Yes the NVidia management came out with a forecast of $9 billion in sales up $2 Billion from the previous Quarter. So once they put these wonderful bullshit number into the media every puppet and his dog has bought the stock believing that this will be achievable. So how good is this yep management, directors have been selling the stock since the announcement. Retail suckers have been buying the stock while professionals have been selling knowing full well that there is no chance in hell of them making these sales number on there bullshit AI fantasy.

So I'll show you how you should research companies and see if they are full of shit or if they are the real deal.

NVidia!!! $2 billion increase in sales is this quarter so for this to occur we need to see if there suppliers are increasing production to meet there demand? 

All there suppliers are scaling back on production, there competitors are also scaling back by 12-15% so how the hell is NVidia going to justify an increase in sales of 30% when both there suppliers and competitors are scaling back by 12-15%.

Bottom line its bullshit and its called professional bullshit and I'll tell you why, management doesn't believe in there own crap. So what confidents does that give the market? 

Yesterday we just got told the US government is going to limit NVidia AI chips to China, the perfect excuse to downgrade the forecasts.

So these is no way that NVidia going to meet there forecast, another clue that the company is full of shit.

So in coming week expect the darling stock to downgrade earnings and the market will punish them accordingly.

Looking at the astrology on the stock this stock will fall apart in the next 12 months, so if you hold it please be careful.

As always use the above as an indicator to your own work.

The above is based on Financial astrology.

Please ask your financial advisor on more on the above